Friday, February 15, 2013

China Currency Game

chinawares Renminbi:Currency game

China is under wardrobe from US to de pass judgment its funds. US believes that due to low value of Chinese Yuan, china is more competitive in exports vis-à-vis US and hence large trade deficits are leading to line of business losses in the US. However Chinese government claims China is a sovereign nation has the right to manage its currentness and the low value of Yuan is actually helping US manage its budget deficit and by buying US treasury bills it was pr flatting the rise of US interest rates . but many countries confirm also established their production musical theme in China and hence any major fluctuations in the currency would hurt them.

However this situation is potentially inflationary and impart work only if the China is able to carry a high growth rate. Moreover if long horse depreciates the Chinese government will have to write off its dollar assets in form of US treasury bills. China in recent past claims to have pegged its currency to a ring of international currency, but even then dollar carries maximum weight. China has also done mild revaluation and allowed insouciant fluctuations to the range of 0.3% to 0.05%.

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However the pressure from US persist even though some countries such as Japan and Korea have engaged in processing trade from China and thus benefitted from low Yuan and retaining greater value of trade for themselves.
on that point are several options available to China:
Revalue its currency: It is estimated that if China revalues its currency say from 3-5 % it is estimated that the exports will grow by 10% instead of 30%. If it is increased by 15% the exports will drop. China needs to provide employment to its labor force migrating from urban to rural areas.
Tax Exports: This will centralize the pressure on China to let its currency appreciate. This will lead to tax revenues as well. But China is an export economy and hence it will hurt its exports and thus employment.
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